Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. MacKenzie wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 52.9% vs Smith 46.2% (+8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKenzie 73.6%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 91.4%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 91.8%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 88.0%
88.0%
12.0%
MacKenzie
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
MacKenzie
Smith
Last 5: MacKenzie 4-1 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
1
0
MacKenzie
Smith
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
MacKenzie
Smith
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
2
0
MacKenzie
Smith
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (737)
44.7% (190)
+10.4%
Power Play
36.8% (19)
40.0% (10)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
48.9% (266)
45.2% (31)
+3.7%
On even strength, MacKenzie has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. MacKenzie is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (662).
MacKenzie shoots left. Smith is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (165).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Smith
Home
54.9% (506)
46.8% (111)
Away
51.4% (516)
42.5% (120)
By Period
MacKenzie
Smith
P1
54.5%
44.6%
P2
55.6%
43.6%
P3
48.2%
46.2%
OT
70.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
53.0%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2014 | 3 | 13:11 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 1 | 02:52 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 1 | 02:43 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Oct 13, 2014 | 1 | 19:40 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Oct 13, 2014 | 1 | 11:11 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |