Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.2% vs Smith 51.6% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Stepan leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Smith 52.5%
Defensive zone
Smith 73.3%
Neutral zone
Smith 67.8%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 64.6%
35.4%
64.6%
Stepan
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
5
(14 meetings)
9
5
Stepan
Smith
Last 10: Stepan 7-3 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
3
1
Stepan
Smith
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
1
2
Stepan
Smith
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
5
2
Stepan
Smith
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (750)
52.6% (635)
-4.6%
Power Play
36.3% (113)
45.5% (44)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (113)
48.1% (52)
-6.5%
On power play, Smith has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Stepan is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (617).
Stepan shoots right. Smith is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (289).
Home / Away
Stepan
Smith
Home
47.4% (460)
53.4% (371)
Away
44.5% (517)
50.3% (360)
By Period
Stepan
Smith
P1
50.3%
50.2%
P2
38.4%
52.2%
P3
49.4%
52.7%
OT
27.3%
57.1%
Final 5 min
48.1%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
45.9%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2013 | 3 | 18:19 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Mar 8, 2013 | 3 | 11:50 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 8, 2013 | 3 | 10:34 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 8, 2013 | 3 | 07:02 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 8, 2013 | 3 | 02:40 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 8, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 8, 2013 | 2 | 09:39 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Mar 8, 2013 | 2 | 06:27 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 8, 2013 | 2 | 03:21 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 21, 2013 | OT | 03:36 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 21, 2013 | OT | 01:05 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 21, 2013 | 3 | 13:19 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 21, 2013 | 3 | 11:35 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 21, 2013 | 3 | 07:20 | Defensive | Zack Smith |