Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 49.0% vs Smith 52.5% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 53.0%
Defensive zone
Smith 87.9%
Neutral zone
Smith 67.2%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 63.9%
36.1%
63.9%
Malkin
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Malkin
Smith
Last 6: Malkin 4-2 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
0
Malkin
Smith
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
1
Malkin
Smith
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
1
Malkin
Smith
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (612)
53.0% (1,048)
-4.8%
Power Play
80.0% (5)
57.4% (47)
+22.6%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (4)
50.0% (196)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Malkin is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (375).
Malkin shoots left. Smith is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Home / Away
Malkin
Smith
Home
53.4% (305)
53.9% (629)
Away
44.3% (316)
51.5% (662)
By Period
Malkin
Smith
P1
45.6%
50.4%
P2
46.6%
51.8%
P3
54.7%
56.4%
OT
50.0%
31.6%
Final 5 min
46.3%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
48.8%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2014 | OT | 01:04 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 2 | 18:18 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 1 | 10:21 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 1 | 08:04 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 1 | 08:00 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 1 | 07:48 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |