Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hecht on offensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings). Hecht wins 42.5% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hecht 43.7% vs Smith 50.6% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Smith leads 16-15 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Hecht 55.5%
Defensive zone
Smith 53.7%
Neutral zone
Hecht 54.1%
Result
Jochen Hecht favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Hecht
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
16
(31 meetings)
15
16
Hecht
Smith
Last 10: Hecht 4-6 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hecht
7
3
Hecht
Smith
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
3
4
Hecht
Smith
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
5
9
Hecht
Smith
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hecht
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
43.2% (1,074)
51.6% (5,265)
-8.4%
Power Play
44.1% (93)
51.2% (342)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (207)
45.3% (985)
-3.3%
On even strength, Smith has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Hecht is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (899).
Hecht shoots left. Smith is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (4,205).
Home / Away
Hecht
Smith
Home
45.5% (714)
52.5% (3,289)
Away
40.7% (668)
48.7% (3,310)
By Period
Hecht
Smith
P1
41.9%
49.9%
P2
44.7%
50.0%
P3
43.1%
51.9%
OT
40.0%
51.6%
Final 5 min
44.1%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hecht
44.0%▲
41.5%
43.2%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2013 | 3 | 07:20 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Apr 5, 2013 | 3 | 03:15 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Apr 5, 2013 | 2 | 17:26 | Offensive | Jochen Hecht |
| Apr 5, 2013 | 2 | 14:45 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Apr 5, 2013 | 2 | 00:48 | Offensive | Jochen Hecht |
| Apr 5, 2013 | 1 | 09:26 | Offensive | Jochen Hecht |
| Apr 5, 2013 | 1 | 07:20 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Apr 5, 2013 | 1 | 03:48 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Apr 5, 2013 | 1 | 00:23 | Offensive | Jochen Hecht |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 3 | 11:25 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 3 | 05:01 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 2 | 19:08 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 2 | 18:57 | Neutral | Jochen Hecht |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 2 | 09:09 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 12, 2013 | 2 | 19:37 | Defensive | Jochen Hecht |
| Feb 12, 2013 | 2 | 10:14 | Neutral | Jochen Hecht |
| Feb 12, 2013 | 1 | 15:04 | Defensive | Jochen Hecht |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 3 | 00:59 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Mar 13, 2011 | 1 | 16:06 | Offensive | Jochen Hecht |
| Mar 13, 2011 | 1 | 15:58 | Neutral | Jochen Hecht |