Jonathan Marchessault vs Zack Smith
2016-17 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Marchessault wins 43.2% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchessault 46.5% vs Smith 51.8% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Marchessault 87.1%
Defensive zone
Marchessault 58.9%
Neutral zone
Marchessault 72.2%
Result
Jonathan Marchessault favored at 69.8%
69.8%
30.2%
Marchessault
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Marchessault
Smith
Last 9: Marchessault 2-7 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Marchessault
2
1
Marchessault
Smith
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
5
Marchessault
Smith
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
0
1
Marchessault
Smith
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchessault
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (181)
53.5% (430)
-6.0%
Power Play
39.5% (86)
47.7% (65)
-8.2%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (3)
49.1% (114)
+17.6%
On penalty kill, Marchessault has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Marchessault is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (199).
Marchessault shoots right. Smith is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (245).
Home / Away
Marchessault
Smith
Home
48.5% (136)
54.0% (298)
Away
41.8% (134)
50.2% (311)
By Period
Marchessault
Smith
P1
54.8%
55.4%
P2
43.9%
45.9%
P3
39.1%
54.6%
OT
42.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchessault
32.0%▬
32.0%
45.2%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2017 | 3 | 14:11 | Offensive | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Feb 26, 2017 | 2 | 19:08 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 26, 2017 | 2 | 11:30 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 26, 2017 | 2 | 05:47 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 26, 2017 | 1 | 16:33 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 3 | 03:12 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 3 | 10:10 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 3 | 10:07 | Offensive | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 1 | 09:03 | Defensive | Zack Smith |