Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.7% vs 50.6%). Look for Smith on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lehtera 50.7% vs Smith 50.6% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Smith leads 17-10 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Lehtera 69.5%
Defensive zone
Smith 69.7%
Neutral zone
Lehtera 52.7%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Lehtera
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
17
(27 meetings)
10
17
Lehtera
Smith
Last 10: Lehtera 3-7 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
2
5
Lehtera
Smith
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
3
6
Lehtera
Smith
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
5
6
Lehtera
Smith
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lehtera
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (2,714)
51.6% (5,265)
-1.2%
Power Play
55.8% (339)
51.2% (342)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (104)
45.3% (985)
-4.0%
On power play, Lehtera has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Lehtera is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,033).
Lehtera shoots left. Smith is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (4,205).
Home / Away
Lehtera
Smith
Home
53.7% (1,668)
52.5% (3,289)
Away
47.4% (1,489)
48.7% (3,310)
By Period
Lehtera
Smith
P1
53.2%
49.9%
P2
50.6%
50.0%
P3
48.1%
51.9%
OT
54.3%
51.6%
Final 5 min
48.9%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lehtera
42.0%▼
56.5%
50.7%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2018 | 2 | 19:47 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Oct 10, 2018 | 1 | 13:23 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 7, 2017 | 3 | 02:10 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Jan 17, 2017 | 2 | 13:26 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Jan 17, 2017 | 1 | 01:16 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 4, 2016 | 2 | 07:54 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Jan 4, 2016 | 2 | 07:42 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Nov 25, 2014 | OT | 04:55 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 25, 2014 | OT | 03:30 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 25, 2014 | 3 | 19:19 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Nov 25, 2014 | 3 | 10:45 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 25, 2014 | 3 | 07:55 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Nov 25, 2014 | 2 | 05:02 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 25, 2014 | 1 | 10:55 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 25, 2014 | 1 | 07:44 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Nov 22, 2014 | 3 | 09:30 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 22, 2014 | 3 | 03:46 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 22, 2014 | 3 | 01:56 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 22, 2014 | 2 | 18:23 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 22, 2014 | 2 | 11:41 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |