Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Stenlund wins 56.0% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 53.9% vs Smith 50.6% (+3.5%)
Offensive zone
Smith 67.2%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 69.5%
Neutral zone
Smith 50.4%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Stenlund
Smith
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (2,693)
51.6% (5,265)
+3.7%
Power Play
52.6% (116)
51.2% (342)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (917)
45.3% (985)
+5.2%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Stenlund is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,796).
Stenlund shoots right. Smith is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,394).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Smith
Home
54.2% (1,836)
52.5% (3,289)
Away
53.9% (1,890)
48.7% (3,310)
By Period
Stenlund
Smith
P1
56.5%
49.9%
P2
53.3%
50.0%
P3
52.8%
51.9%
OT
53.1%
51.6%
Final 5 min
53.3%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
56.0%▼
58.0%
54.1%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%