Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.0% vs 49.1%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 49.0% vs Smith 49.2% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 50.8%
Defensive zone
Smith 57.7%
Neutral zone
Smith 51.5%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Eller
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Eller
Smith
Last 5: Eller 1-4 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
1
Eller
Smith
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
2
Eller
Smith
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Eller
Smith
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (821)
50.9% (666)
-1.0%
Power Play
52.7% (74)
70.0% (10)
-17.3%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (214)
39.6% (144)
+4.3%
On power play, Smith has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Eller is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (720).
Eller shoots left. Smith is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (522).
Home / Away
Eller
Smith
Home
49.4% (559)
50.9% (405)
Away
48.5% (550)
47.5% (415)
By Period
Eller
Smith
P1
50.1%
47.1%
P2
46.7%
49.6%
P3
49.9%
50.4%
OT
71.4%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.4%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.0%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2019 | 2 | 15:42 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 26, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 3 | 16:30 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 3 | 10:46 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 2 | 02:55 | Offensive | Zack Smith |