Scouting Report
Marcel Goc holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Goc on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Goc wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goc 51.5% vs Smith 49.0% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Goc 74.5%
Defensive zone
Goc 74.2%
Neutral zone
Goc 74.1%
Result
Marcel Goc favored at 74.2%
74.2%
25.8%
Goc
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Goc
Smith
Last 7: Goc 6-1 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Goc
1
0
Goc
Smith
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goc
2
0
Goc
Smith
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Goc
3
1
Goc
Smith
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goc
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (727)
48.0% (761)
+4.3%
Power Play
63.8% (69)
70.4% (27)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (159)
49.5% (196)
-5.5%
On power play, Smith has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Goc is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Goc shoots left. Smith is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (690).
Home / Away
Goc
Smith
Home
54.7% (468)
49.9% (523)
Away
48.8% (510)
47.8% (467)
By Period
Goc
Smith
P1
48.9%
47.5%
P2
53.0%
50.4%
P3
52.4%
48.4%
OT
60.9%
53.8%
Final 5 min
50.8%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goc
52.0%▼
55.5%
51.6%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2012 | 2 | 14:06 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Feb 15, 2012 | 1 | 17:17 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Oct 27, 2011 | 3 | 19:56 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Oct 27, 2011 | 2 | 02:27 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Oct 27, 2011 | 1 | 12:34 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Oct 27, 2011 | 1 | 04:42 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Oct 27, 2011 | 1 | 01:16 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |