Scouting Report
Marcel Goc holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Goc on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goc 52.3% vs Smith 50.6% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Goc leads 14-7 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Goc 64.8%
Defensive zone
Goc 68.0%
Neutral zone
Goc 64.8%
Result
Marcel Goc favored at 65.4%
65.4%
34.6%
Goc
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
7
(21 meetings)
14
7
Goc
Smith
Last 10: Goc 6-4 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
2
3
Goc
Smith
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goc
4
0
Goc
Smith
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Goc
8
4
Goc
Smith
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goc
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (3,301)
51.6% (5,265)
+1.4%
Power Play
58.0% (314)
51.2% (342)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (728)
45.3% (985)
+2.1%
On power play, Goc has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Goc is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,768).
Goc shoots left. Smith is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (4,205).
Home / Away
Goc
Smith
Home
53.9% (2,079)
52.5% (3,289)
Away
51.0% (2,296)
48.7% (3,310)
By Period
Goc
Smith
P1
51.9%
49.9%
P2
53.1%
50.0%
P3
52.4%
51.9%
OT
44.9%
51.6%
Final 5 min
53.5%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goc
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.4%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2014 | 3 | 11:54 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 2 | 08:44 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 2 | 04:43 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 1 | 14:49 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 1 | 09:09 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 19, 2013 | 2 | 01:59 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Dec 19, 2013 | 2 | 01:49 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 3 | 15:04 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 3 | 03:35 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 2 | 18:52 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 1 | 18:45 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 1 | 08:22 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Feb 15, 2012 | 2 | 14:06 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Feb 15, 2012 | 1 | 17:17 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Oct 27, 2011 | 3 | 19:56 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Oct 27, 2011 | 2 | 02:27 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Oct 27, 2011 | 1 | 12:34 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Oct 27, 2011 | 1 | 04:42 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |