Scouting Report
Mark Letestu holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Letestu on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Letestu wins 55.4% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Letestu 52.5% vs Smith 46.2% (+8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Letestu 61.0%
Defensive zone
Letestu 77.6%
Neutral zone
Letestu 86.8%
Result
Mark Letestu favored at 72.4%
72.4%
27.6%
Letestu
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Letestu
Smith
Last 6: Letestu 4-2 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Letestu
2
1
Letestu
Smith
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
1
Letestu
Smith
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Letestu
2
0
Letestu
Smith
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Letestu
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (488)
44.7% (190)
+10.8%
Power Play
46.7% (15)
40.0% (10)
+6.7%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (100)
45.2% (31)
-4.2%
On even strength, Letestu has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Letestu is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (428).
Letestu shoots right. Smith is 43.9% vs right-shot opponents (66).
Home / Away
Letestu
Smith
Home
55.9% (297)
46.8% (111)
Away
50.0% (306)
42.5% (120)
By Period
Letestu
Smith
P1
49.2%
44.6%
P2
55.4%
43.6%
P3
53.4%
46.2%
OT
60.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
53.6%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Letestu
58.0%▲
54.5%
52.9%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2014 | 3 | 09:49 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 3 | 09:38 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 3 | 04:13 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 2 | 16:04 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 1 | 15:50 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 1 | 01:53 | Offensive | Zack Smith |