Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.7% vs 51.8%). Look for Smith on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Perreault wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Perreault 51.3% vs Smith 51.6% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Perreault 56.5%
Defensive zone
Smith 51.9%
Neutral zone
Smith 57.1%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Perreault
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Perreault
Smith
Last 5: Perreault 2-3 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Perreault
Smith
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
1
2
Perreault
Smith
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Perreault
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (297)
52.6% (635)
-0.7%
Power Play
51.9% (27)
45.5% (44)
+6.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
48.1% (52)
-48.1%
On penalty kill, Smith has a +48.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Perreault is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (208).
Perreault shoots left. Smith is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (442).
Home / Away
Perreault
Smith
Home
55.4% (184)
53.4% (371)
Away
46.8% (141)
50.3% (360)
By Period
Perreault
Smith
P1
61.5%
50.2%
P2
48.7%
52.2%
P3
45.4%
52.7%
Final 5 min
52.9%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Perreault
48.0%▼
51.0%
51.7%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2013 | 3 | 17:56 | Neutral | Mathieu Perreault |
| Apr 25, 2013 | 3 | 08:31 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Apr 25, 2013 | 2 | 10:51 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Apr 25, 2013 | 1 | 11:40 | Offensive | Mathieu Perreault |
| Apr 18, 2013 | 2 | 03:01 | Offensive | Zack Smith |