Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grabovski 50.5% vs Smith 51.6% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Smith leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Grabovski 52.3%
Defensive zone
Grabovski 56.5%
Neutral zone
Grabovski 54.6%
Result
Mikhail Grabovski favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
Grabovski
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Grabovski
Smith
Last 10: Grabovski 4-6 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Grabovski
Smith
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
1
4
Grabovski
Smith
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grabovski
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (568)
52.6% (635)
-0.7%
Power Play
39.1% (69)
45.5% (44)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
48.1% (52)
+51.9%
On penalty kill, Grabovski has a +51.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Grabovski is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (373).
Grabovski shoots left. Smith is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (442).
Home / Away
Grabovski
Smith
Home
51.6% (318)
53.4% (371)
Away
49.7% (320)
50.3% (360)
By Period
Grabovski
Smith
P1
52.6%
50.2%
P2
49.5%
52.2%
P3
50.5%
52.7%
OT
20.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
50.7%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grabovski
42.0%▼
44.5%
50.6%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2013 | 2 | 08:22 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Apr 20, 2013 | 1 | 04:21 | Defensive | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 3 | 19:01 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 3 | 02:44 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Mar 6, 2013 | 3 | 17:14 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Mar 6, 2013 | 3 | 14:07 | Defensive | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Mar 6, 2013 | 3 | 13:19 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 6, 2013 | 3 | 00:56 | Neutral | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 2 | 03:31 | Defensive | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 1 | 15:58 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 3 | 15:37 | Defensive | Zack Smith |