Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Backstrom on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backstrom 48.7% vs Smith 51.9% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Backstrom leads 9-1 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Smith 55.4%
Defensive zone
Smith 73.9%
Neutral zone
Smith 55.6%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 57.4%
42.6%
57.4%
Backstrom
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
1
(10 meetings)
9
1
Backstrom
Smith
Last 10: Backstrom 9-1 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
4
0
Backstrom
Smith
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
1
0
Backstrom
Smith
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backstrom
4
1
Backstrom
Smith
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backstrom
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (1,097)
53.6% (550)
-5.7%
Power Play
55.7% (149)
53.5% (71)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (111)
43.5% (108)
+1.5%
On even strength, Smith has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Backstrom is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (825).
Backstrom shoots left. Smith is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (480).
Home / Away
Backstrom
Smith
Home
51.1% (638)
56.5% (352)
Away
46.3% (719)
48.0% (377)
By Period
Backstrom
Smith
P1
44.8%
52.0%
P2
51.1%
51.5%
P3
49.4%
52.2%
OT
55.6%
80.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
48.6%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2016 | 3 | 12:00 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 22, 2016 | 3 | 02:58 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 22, 2016 | 3 | 02:54 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 22, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Mar 22, 2016 | 1 | 14:37 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 22, 2016 | 1 | 05:51 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 22, 2016 | 1 | 02:32 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 22, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 10, 2016 | 2 | 07:43 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 10, 2016 | 1 | 10:15 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |