Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Bergeron wins 59.8% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 58.8% vs Smith 49.0% (+10.4%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 16-3 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Bergeron 97.9%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 86.1%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 96.9%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 95.1%
95.1%
4.9%
Bergeron
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
3
(19 meetings)
16
3
Bergeron
Smith
Last 10: Bergeron 9-1 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
8
0
Bergeron
Smith
8 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Bergeron
Smith
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
6
1
Bergeron
Smith
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
61.6% (1,186)
48.0% (761)
+13.6%
Power Play
52.2% (201)
70.4% (27)
-18.2%
Penalty Kill
54.6% (240)
49.5% (196)
+5.1%
On power play, Smith has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Bergeron is 59.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,127).
Bergeron shoots right. Smith is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (300).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Smith
Home
61.7% (828)
49.9% (523)
Away
56.8% (813)
47.8% (467)
By Period
Bergeron
Smith
P1
58.5%
47.5%
P2
61.8%
50.4%
P3
57.8%
48.4%
OT
58.3%
53.8%
Final 5 min
58.9%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
59.3%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2012 | 3 | 10:54 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 28, 2012 | 1 | 17:18 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 3 | 19:54 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 3 | 08:30 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 2 | 18:38 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 31, 2012 | 3 | 10:24 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 31, 2012 | 3 | 01:41 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 31, 2012 | 2 | 19:23 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 31, 2012 | 2 | 19:15 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 31, 2012 | 1 | 19:54 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 31, 2012 | 1 | 15:47 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 14, 2011 | 3 | 15:55 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 14, 2011 | 2 | 13:47 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 14, 2011 | 2 | 10:27 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 14, 2011 | 2 | 04:23 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Dec 14, 2011 | 1 | 16:14 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 14, 2011 | 1 | 09:04 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 14, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 1, 2011 | 2 | 14:52 | Defensive | Zack Smith |