Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 14 meetings). Bergeron wins 64.6% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 60.9% vs Smith 51.6% (+10.3%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 25-7 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Bergeron 97.5%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 97.7%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 93.9%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 96.5%
96.5%
3.5%
Bergeron
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
25
-
7
(32 meetings)
25
7
Bergeron
Smith
Last 10: Bergeron 8-2 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
12
2
Bergeron
Smith
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
8
1
Bergeron
Smith
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
5
4
Bergeron
Smith
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
62.6% (660)
52.6% (635)
+10.0%
Power Play
59.8% (97)
45.5% (44)
+14.3%
Penalty Kill
61.4% (127)
48.1% (52)
+13.3%
On power play, Bergeron has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Bergeron is 64.6% vs left-shot opponents (545).
Bergeron shoots right. Smith is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (289).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Smith
Home
67.0% (443)
53.4% (371)
Away
57.1% (441)
50.3% (360)
By Period
Bergeron
Smith
P1
63.7%
50.2%
P2
60.0%
52.2%
P3
63.2%
52.7%
OT
52.9%
57.1%
Final 5 min
66.8%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
62.1%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2013 | 3 | 16:26 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 28, 2013 | 3 | 11:35 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 28, 2013 | 2 | 16:30 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 28, 2013 | 2 | 13:03 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 28, 2013 | 1 | 15:27 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 28, 2013 | 1 | 05:44 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 2, 2013 | 1 | 19:22 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Apr 2, 2013 | 1 | 06:05 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 21, 2013 | 3 | 18:52 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 21, 2013 | 3 | 03:10 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Mar 21, 2013 | 3 | 03:01 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 21, 2013 | 3 | 00:11 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 21, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Mar 21, 2013 | 2 | 18:38 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 21, 2013 | 2 | 03:23 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 21, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Mar 21, 2013 | 1 | 10:07 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 21, 2013 | 1 | 06:33 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 21, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 11, 2013 | 3 | 19:36 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |