Scouting Report
Petteri Nokelainen holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Nokelainen on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Nokelainen wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nokelainen 52.6% vs Smith 49.0% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nokelainen 71.9%
Defensive zone
Nokelainen 60.1%
Neutral zone
Nokelainen 57.2%
Result
Petteri Nokelainen favored at 58.7%
58.7%
41.3%
Nokelainen
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Nokelainen
Smith
Last 6: Nokelainen 4-2 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
1
2
Nokelainen
Smith
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nokelainen
3
0
Nokelainen
Smith
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nokelainen
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (257)
48.0% (761)
+5.7%
Power Play
50.0% (8)
70.4% (27)
-20.4%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (39)
49.5% (196)
+4.3%
On power play, Smith has a +20.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Nokelainen is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (170).
Nokelainen shoots right. Smith is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (300).
Home / Away
Nokelainen
Smith
Home
53.1% (143)
49.9% (523)
Away
53.6% (166)
47.8% (467)
By Period
Nokelainen
Smith
P1
47.8%
47.5%
P2
56.6%
50.4%
P3
57.3%
48.4%
OT
0.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
50.0%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nokelainen
50.0%▼
54.0%
53.4%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2012 | 1 | 13:06 | Neutral | Petteri Nokelainen |
| Mar 14, 2012 | 1 | 02:39 | Neutral | Petteri Nokelainen |
| Mar 14, 2012 | 1 | 02:31 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 27, 2011 | 2 | 06:49 | Neutral | Petteri Nokelainen |
| Dec 27, 2011 | 1 | 02:24 | Defensive | Petteri Nokelainen |
| Nov 4, 2011 | 2 | 02:48 | Defensive | Zack Smith |