Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Crosby 50.1% vs Smith 49.0% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 13-6 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 92.5%
Defensive zone
Smith 54.7%
Neutral zone
Crosby 69.5%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 72.9%
72.9%
27.1%
Crosby
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
6
(19 meetings)
13
6
Crosby
Smith
Last 10: Crosby 6-4 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
6
1
Crosby
Smith
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Crosby
Smith
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
5
3
Crosby
Smith
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Crosby
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (335)
48.0% (761)
+1.3%
Power Play
54.7% (106)
70.4% (27)
-15.7%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
49.5% (196)
-20.9%
On penalty kill, Smith has a +20.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Crosby is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (295).
Crosby shoots left. Smith is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (690).
Home / Away
Crosby
Smith
Home
57.1% (240)
49.9% (523)
Away
42.3% (213)
47.8% (467)
By Period
Crosby
Smith
P1
55.0%
47.5%
P2
46.3%
50.4%
P3
50.0%
48.4%
OT
33.3%
53.8%
Final 5 min
57.1%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
50.1%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2012 | 3 | 08:36 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 2 | 18:19 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 2 | 09:00 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 2 | 07:05 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 2 | 05:38 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 1 | 13:01 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 1 | 09:16 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 3 | 16:29 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 3 | 13:35 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 3 | 09:36 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 3 | 08:48 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 3 | 08:41 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 2 | 19:37 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 2 | 11:22 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 2 | 09:15 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 2 | 06:03 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 1 | 13:25 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 1 | 05:34 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 1 | 04:47 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |