Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Gionta wins 40.5% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gionta 41.2% vs Smith 50.6% (-9.8%)
H2H factor
Smith leads 13-8 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Gionta 75.7%
Defensive zone
Gionta 73.9%
Neutral zone
Gionta 73.7%
Result
Stephen Gionta favored at 74.0%
74.0%
26.0%
Gionta
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
13
(21 meetings)
8
13
Gionta
Smith
Last 10: Gionta 3-7 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
1
2
Gionta
Smith
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
1
3
Gionta
Smith
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
6
8
Gionta
Smith
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gionta
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
40.6% (1,902)
51.6% (5,265)
-11.0%
Power Play
61.5% (26)
51.2% (342)
+10.3%
Penalty Kill
40.1% (292)
45.3% (985)
-5.2%
On even strength, Smith has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Gionta is 40.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,514).
Gionta shoots right. Smith is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,394).
Home / Away
Gionta
Smith
Home
42.6% (1,074)
52.5% (3,289)
Away
39.1% (1,147)
48.7% (3,310)
By Period
Gionta
Smith
P1
40.8%
49.9%
P2
41.8%
50.0%
P3
39.8%
51.9%
OT
35.7%
51.6%
Final 5 min
39.0%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gionta
50.0%▲
48.0%
40.8%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2016 | 2 | 07:30 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Apr 10, 2014 | 3 | 06:58 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Apr 10, 2014 | 2 | 17:26 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Apr 10, 2014 | 2 | 07:08 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Apr 10, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Apr 10, 2014 | 1 | 00:11 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Apr 10, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Dec 18, 2013 | 2 | 03:18 | Defensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Dec 18, 2013 | 1 | 08:47 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 18, 2013 | 1 | 04:56 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 3 | 10:52 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 3 | 10:49 | Offensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 2 | 11:12 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Apr 12, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Apr 12, 2013 | 1 | 03:08 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Apr 12, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Feb 18, 2013 | OT | 03:42 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Feb 18, 2013 | 3 | 19:25 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Feb 18, 2013 | 2 | 15:00 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 3 | 19:17 | Neutral | Zack Smith |