Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings). Bozak wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bozak 56.2% vs Smith 51.8% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Smith leads 13-6 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Smith 68.0%
Defensive zone
Smith 67.2%
Neutral zone
Smith 66.8%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 67.6%
32.4%
67.6%
Bozak
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
13
(19 meetings)
6
13
Bozak
Smith
Last 10: Bozak 5-5 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
2
8
Bozak
Smith
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
2
3
Bozak
Smith
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Bozak
Smith
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bozak
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (1,119)
53.5% (430)
+3.0%
Power Play
58.4% (226)
47.7% (65)
+10.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (20)
49.1% (114)
+0.9%
On power play, Bozak has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Bozak is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (910).
Bozak shoots right. Smith is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (245).
Home / Away
Bozak
Smith
Home
60.1% (682)
54.0% (298)
Away
53.2% (684)
50.2% (311)
By Period
Bozak
Smith
P1
57.7%
55.4%
P2
53.7%
45.9%
P3
59.0%
54.6%
OT
55.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.1%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.7%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2017 | 1 | 18:14 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 1 | 13:59 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 1 | 06:14 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 3 | 18:49 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 2 | 16:15 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 1 | 14:08 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 3 | 08:30 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 3 | 08:23 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 3 | 08:11 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 3 | 06:04 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 2 | 18:10 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 2 | 14:39 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 2 | 07:42 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 2 | 07:37 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 1 | 18:30 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Oct 12, 2016 | 3 | 11:10 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Oct 12, 2016 | 3 | 02:02 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Oct 12, 2016 | 3 | 01:03 | Offensive | Zack Smith |