Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Rask wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rask 49.8% vs Smith 51.8% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rask 50.8%
Defensive zone
Smith 61.0%
Neutral zone
Smith 50.7%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Rask
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Rask
Smith
Last 6: Rask 0-6 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
2
Rask
Smith
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
2
Rask
Smith
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
0
2
Rask
Smith
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rask
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (809)
53.5% (430)
-4.8%
Power Play
60.0% (90)
47.7% (65)
+12.3%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (19)
49.1% (114)
-1.7%
On power play, Rask has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Rask is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (582).
Rask shoots left. Smith is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (364).
Home / Away
Rask
Smith
Home
51.4% (420)
54.0% (298)
Away
48.4% (498)
50.2% (311)
By Period
Rask
Smith
P1
49.1%
55.4%
P2
50.2%
45.9%
P3
50.3%
54.6%
OT
41.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.7%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
49.8%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2017 | 2 | 01:14 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 24, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 2 | 00:15 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 1 | 04:46 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 1 | 02:24 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zack Smith |