Scouting Report
Vincent Lecavalier holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Lecavalier wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lecavalier 53.9% vs Smith 51.6% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Smith leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Smith 60.2%
Defensive zone
Smith 71.5%
Neutral zone
Smith 67.6%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 69.5%
30.5%
69.5%
Lecavalier
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Lecavalier
Smith
Last 10: Lecavalier 3-7 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
2
3
Lecavalier
Smith
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
1
4
Lecavalier
Smith
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lecavalier
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (586)
52.6% (635)
+0.8%
Power Play
59.3% (145)
45.5% (44)
+13.8%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (11)
48.1% (52)
-2.6%
On power play, Lecavalier has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Lecavalier is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (462).
Lecavalier shoots left. Smith is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (442).
Home / Away
Lecavalier
Smith
Home
55.6% (360)
53.4% (371)
Away
53.4% (382)
50.3% (360)
By Period
Lecavalier
Smith
P1
55.2%
50.2%
P2
57.9%
52.2%
P3
50.4%
52.7%
OT
75.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
55.8%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lecavalier
52.0%▲
46.5%
54.4%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2013 | 3 | 12:57 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 3 | 12:50 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 3 | 10:14 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 2 | 16:28 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 1 | 18:18 | Defensive | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 1 | 00:31 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 25, 2013 | 3 | 12:44 | Neutral | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Jan 25, 2013 | 3 | 10:05 | Defensive | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Jan 25, 2013 | 3 | 03:39 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Jan 25, 2013 | 1 | 15:01 | Defensive | Zack Smith |