Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Lecavalier on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Lecavalier wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lecavalier 45.6% vs Smith 52.5% (-8.1%)
H2H factor
Lecavalier leads 13-8 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Lecavalier 57.5%
Defensive zone
Smith 92.9%
Neutral zone
Smith 84.0%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 76.3%
23.7%
76.3%
Lecavalier
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
8
(21 meetings)
13
8
Lecavalier
Smith
Last 10: Lecavalier 5-5 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lecavalier
4
1
Lecavalier
Smith
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lecavalier
3
2
Lecavalier
Smith
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lecavalier
6
5
Lecavalier
Smith
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lecavalier
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
42.5% (332)
53.0% (1,048)
-10.5%
Power Play
50.9% (112)
57.4% (47)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
50.0% (196)
+0.0%
On even strength, Smith has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Lecavalier is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (296).
Lecavalier shoots left. Smith is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Home / Away
Lecavalier
Smith
Home
45.9% (255)
53.9% (629)
Away
43.0% (193)
51.5% (662)
By Period
Lecavalier
Smith
P1
44.1%
50.4%
P2
44.4%
51.8%
P3
45.7%
56.4%
OT
40.0%
31.6%
Final 5 min
56.2%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lecavalier
52.0%▲
46.5%
44.6%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2013 | 3 | 11:39 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 19, 2013 | 3 | 11:30 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Nov 19, 2013 | 3 | 03:52 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Nov 19, 2013 | 3 | 03:44 | Offensive | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Nov 19, 2013 | 3 | 00:26 | Offensive | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Nov 19, 2013 | 2 | 18:33 | Defensive | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Nov 19, 2013 | 2 | 08:13 | Neutral | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Nov 19, 2013 | 2 | 06:49 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 19, 2013 | 1 | 17:53 | Defensive | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Nov 19, 2013 | 1 | 17:44 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 3 | 07:37 | Neutral | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 3 | 04:18 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 2 | 17:22 | Offensive | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 2 | 12:10 | Defensive | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 2 | 07:37 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 2 | 00:28 | Neutral | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 1 | 18:52 | Neutral | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 1 | 16:24 | Neutral | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 1 | 10:42 | Neutral | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 1 | 03:13 | Offensive | Vincent Lecavalier |