Scouting Report
William Nylander holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Nylander on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Nylander wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nylander 54.1% vs Smith 49.2% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nylander 89.8%
Defensive zone
Smith 56.2%
Neutral zone
Nylander 69.5%
Result
William Nylander favored at 76.3%
76.3%
23.7%
Nylander
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Nylander
Smith
Last 6: Nylander 5-1 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nylander
2
0
Nylander
Smith
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nylander
3
1
Nylander
Smith
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nylander
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (324)
50.9% (666)
+5.6%
Power Play
46.5% (43)
70.0% (10)
-23.5%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
39.6% (144)
-39.6%
On penalty kill, Smith has a +39.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Nylander is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (280).
Nylander shoots right. Smith is 40.9% vs right-shot opponents (298).
Home / Away
Nylander
Smith
Home
57.1% (177)
50.9% (405)
Away
53.4% (191)
47.5% (415)
By Period
Nylander
Smith
P1
56.4%
47.1%
P2
51.8%
49.6%
P3
56.9%
50.4%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
57.0%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nylander
34.0%▼
44.0%
55.2%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2019 | 2 | 01:01 | Offensive | William Nylander |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 2 | 00:58 | Offensive | William Nylander |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 1 | 18:54 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Feb 6, 2019 | 3 | 00:40 | Neutral | William Nylander |
| Feb 6, 2019 | 1 | 17:18 | Neutral | William Nylander |
| Feb 6, 2019 | 1 | 12:34 | Neutral | William Nylander |