Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Smith wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 52.5% vs Girgensons 44.1% (+11.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smith 56.9%
Defensive zone
Smith 72.0%
Neutral zone
Smith 67.6%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 66.3%
66.3%
33.7%
Smith
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Smith
Girgensons
Last 5: Smith 3-2 Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Girgensons
0
1
Smith
Girgensons
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
1
0
Smith
Girgensons
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
2
1
Smith
Girgensons
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (1,048)
42.5% (181)
+10.5%
Power Play
57.4% (47)
62.5% (8)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (196)
35.3% (51)
+14.7%
On penalty kill, Smith has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Smith is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Smith shoots left. Girgensons is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (136).
Home / Away
Smith
Girgensons
Home
53.9% (629)
43.1% (144)
Away
51.5% (662)
39.6% (96)
By Period
Smith
Girgensons
P1
50.4%
39.2%
P2
51.8%
42.5%
P3
56.4%
44.0%
OT
31.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
37.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
52.7%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
41.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2014 | 3 | 16:01 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 2 | 19:05 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 2 | 05:55 | Offensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 1 | 03:48 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 3 | 02:18 | Defensive | Zack Smith |