John Mitchell vs Zemgus Girgensons
2016-17 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
John Mitchell holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Mitchell on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Mitchell wins 58.0% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mitchell 54.5% vs Girgensons 47.6% (+8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mitchell 86.3%
Defensive zone
Mitchell 92.5%
Neutral zone
Mitchell 89.6%
Result
John Mitchell favored at 88.4%
88.4%
11.6%
Mitchell
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Mitchell
Girgensons
Last 6: Mitchell 5-1 Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
2
1
Mitchell
Girgensons
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
1
0
Mitchell
Girgensons
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mitchell
2
0
Mitchell
Girgensons
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mitchell
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (485)
47.7% (560)
+8.0%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
28.6% (7)
+29.7%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (41)
33.3% (12)
+17.9%
On power play, Mitchell has a +29.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Mitchell is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (319).
Mitchell shoots left. Girgensons is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (359).
Home / Away
Mitchell
Girgensons
Home
61.9% (265)
51.1% (266)
Away
49.1% (273)
43.8% (313)
By Period
Mitchell
Girgensons
P1
54.9%
48.5%
P2
56.8%
46.8%
P3
54.5%
46.2%
Final 5 min
55.9%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
55.4%
Girgensons
30.0%▼
43.5%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2017 | 2 | 16:07 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Feb 25, 2017 | 2 | 11:10 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Feb 25, 2017 | 2 | 09:11 | Offensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Feb 25, 2017 | 1 | 17:11 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Feb 25, 2017 | 1 | 01:07 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Feb 25, 2017 | 1 | 00:53 | Offensive | John Mitchell |