Scouting Report
Zenon Konopka holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Konopka on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). MacKenzie wins 59.4% vs left-shot opponents — Konopka shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 57.2% vs Konopka 57.8% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKenzie 58.8%
Defensive zone
Konopka 55.7%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 57.7%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 58.3%
58.3%
41.7%
MacKenzie
Konopka
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
MacKenzie
Konopka
Last 6: MacKenzie 2-4 Konopka
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
2
1
MacKenzie
Konopka
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Konopka
0
3
MacKenzie
Konopka
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Konopka
Edge
Even Strength
61.0% (264)
60.9% (243)
+0.1%
Power Play
100.0% (4)
100.0% (1)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (55)
56.5% (23)
-7.4%
On penalty kill, Konopka has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Konopka shoots left. MacKenzie is 59.4% vs left-shot opponents (234).
MacKenzie shoots left. Konopka is 61.4% vs left-shot opponents (184).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Konopka
Home
62.1% (145)
60.3% (121)
Away
57.3% (178)
61.0% (146)
By Period
MacKenzie
Konopka
P1
51.6%
54.3%
P2
59.8%
65.0%
P3
65.8%
62.5%
Final 5 min
54.8%
60.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
59.4%
Konopka
60.0%▲
54.5%
60.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2013 | 2 | 15:49 | Neutral | Zenon Konopka |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 2 | 11:12 | Offensive | Zenon Konopka |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 1 | 10:49 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 3 | 02:03 | Neutral | Zenon Konopka |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 2 | 09:21 | Neutral | Zenon Konopka |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 1 | 05:36 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |