Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Jones on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Raty wins 60.9% vs left-shot opponents — Jones shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 59.8% vs Jones 52.0% (+8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jones 54.2%
Defensive zone
Jones 57.9%
Neutral zone
Jones 63.6%
Result
Ben Jones favored at 57.9%
42.1%
57.9%
Raty
Jones
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Raty
Jones
Last 5: Raty 2-3 Jones
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jones
1
2
Raty
Jones
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Raty
Jones
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Jones
Edge
Even Strength
60.5% (478)
52.5% (118)
+8.0%
Power Play
75.0% (20)
100.0% (2)
-25.0%
Penalty Kill
63.8% (94)
57.1% (7)
+6.7%
On power play, Jones has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jones shoots left. Raty is 60.9% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Raty shoots left. Jones is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (79).
Home / Away
Raty
Jones
Home
61.4% (332)
51.4% (70)
Away
61.5% (260)
56.1% (57)
By Period
Raty
Jones
P1
56.6%
54.2%
P2
67.4%
46.4%
P3
59.6%
56.9%
Final 5 min
61.7%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
68.0%▲
63.5%
61.5%
Jones
46.0%▼
52.6%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 17:39 | Offensive | Ben Jones |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 17:32 | Offensive | Ben Jones |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 07:00 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 06:58 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 09:08 | Neutral | Ben Jones |