Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Jones on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Raty wins 59.8% vs left-shot opponents — Jones shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 58.7% vs Jones 51.6% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Raty 54.8%
Defensive zone
Jones 61.8%
Neutral zone
Jones 69.2%
Result
Ben Jones favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Raty
Jones
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Raty
Jones
Last 5: Raty 2-3 Jones
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jones
1
2
Raty
Jones
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Raty
Jones
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Jones
Edge
Even Strength
58.5% (866)
51.7% (143)
+6.8%
Power Play
72.2% (36)
100.0% (2)
-27.8%
Penalty Kill
63.2% (106)
57.1% (7)
+6.1%
On power play, Jones has a +27.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jones shoots left. Raty is 59.8% vs left-shot opponents (666).
Raty shoots left. Jones is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (95).
Home / Away
Raty
Jones
Home
59.6% (547)
51.8% (83)
Away
59.4% (461)
53.6% (69)
By Period
Raty
Jones
P1
59.5%
51.0%
P2
62.8%
53.5%
P3
56.6%
53.4%
Final 5 min
62.0%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
68.0%▲
63.5%
59.5%
Jones
46.0%▼
52.6%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 17:39 | Offensive | Ben Jones |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 17:32 | Offensive | Ben Jones |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 07:00 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 06:58 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 09:08 | Neutral | Ben Jones |