Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +15.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Raty on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Raty wins 62.7% vs right-shot opponents — Bedard shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 59.8% vs Bedard 46.7% (+15.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Raty 68.4%
Defensive zone
Raty 91.5%
Neutral zone
Raty 88.7%
Result
Aatu Raty favored at 84.1%
84.1%
15.9%
Raty
Bedard
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Raty
Bedard
Last 7: Raty 5-2 Bedard
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Raty
Bedard
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Raty
3
0
Raty
Bedard
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Raty
Bedard
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Bedard
Edge
Even Strength
60.5% (478)
44.2% (450)
+16.3%
Power Play
75.0% (20)
70.0% (30)
+5.0%
Penalty Kill
63.8% (94)
53.8% (13)
+10.0%
On even strength, Raty has a +16.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bedard shoots right. Raty is 62.7% vs right-shot opponents (177).
Raty shoots left. Bedard is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (344).
Home / Away
Raty
Bedard
Home
61.4% (332)
50.7% (223)
Away
61.5% (260)
42.2% (270)
By Period
Raty
Bedard
P1
56.6%
40.8%
P2
67.4%
48.2%
P3
59.6%
48.0%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
61.7%
45.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
68.0%▲
63.5%
61.5%
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | 3 | 13:38 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 3 | 10:57 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 19:17 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 07:53 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 03:19 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 05:47 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 2 | 07:52 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |