Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +18.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Raty on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Raty wins 58.9% vs right-shot opponents — Bedard shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 58.7% vs Bedard 41.3% (+18.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Raty 90.4%
Defensive zone
Raty 93.8%
Neutral zone
Raty 92.1%
Result
Aatu Raty favored at 92.1%
92.1%
7.9%
Raty
Bedard
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Raty
Bedard
Last 8: Raty 6-2 Bedard
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Raty
2
1
Raty
Bedard
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Raty
3
0
Raty
Bedard
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Raty
Bedard
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Bedard
Edge
Even Strength
58.5% (866)
40.1% (1,580)
+18.4%
Power Play
72.2% (36)
51.9% (77)
+20.3%
Penalty Kill
63.2% (106)
50.0% (24)
+13.2%
On power play, Raty has a +20.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bedard shoots right. Raty is 58.9% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Raty shoots left. Bedard is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,213).
Home / Away
Raty
Bedard
Home
59.6% (547)
43.3% (785)
Away
59.4% (461)
38.5% (896)
By Period
Raty
Bedard
P1
59.5%
39.0%
P2
62.8%
40.7%
P3
56.6%
42.6%
OT
53.3%
42.9%
Final 5 min
62.0%
44.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
68.0%▲
63.5%
59.5%
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
40.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | 3 | 13:38 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 3 | 10:57 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 19:17 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 07:53 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 03:19 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 05:47 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 2 | 07:52 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 16:34 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |