Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Raty on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Raty wins 58.9% vs right-shot opponents — Lindholm shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 58.7% vs Lindholm 53.8% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 52.4%
Defensive zone
Raty 82.8%
Neutral zone
Raty 69.0%
Result
Aatu Raty favored at 74.6%
74.6%
25.4%
Raty
Lindholm
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Raty
Lindholm
Last 6: Raty 5-1 Lindholm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
0
1
Raty
Lindholm
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Raty
4
0
Raty
Lindholm
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Raty
1
0
Raty
Lindholm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Lindholm
Edge
Even Strength
58.5% (866)
53.8% (8,505)
+4.7%
Power Play
72.2% (36)
59.3% (1,734)
+12.9%
Penalty Kill
63.2% (106)
48.1% (1,610)
+15.1%
On penalty kill, Raty has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lindholm shoots right. Raty is 58.9% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Raty shoots left. Lindholm is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,111).
Home / Away
Raty
Lindholm
Home
59.6% (547)
54.1% (5,943)
Away
59.4% (461)
53.6% (5,906)
By Period
Raty
Lindholm
P1
59.5%
54.1%
P2
62.8%
54.5%
P3
56.6%
53.0%
OT
53.3%
53.6%
Final 5 min
62.0%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
68.0%▲
63.5%
59.5%
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 13:03 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 14:48 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 04:22 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 01:12 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 26, 2024 | 3 | 06:15 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 26, 2024 | 2 | 13:50 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |