Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Raty wins 59.5% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 55.7% vs Malkin 46.4% (+11.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 70.8%
Defensive zone
Raty 56.4%
Neutral zone
Malkin 60.0%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 64.3%
35.7%
64.3%
Raty
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Raty
Malkin
Last 5: Raty 2-3 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Raty
Malkin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
2
Raty
Malkin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
56.8% (310)
45.5% (602)
+11.3%
Power Play
72.7% (11)
50.0% (30)
+22.7%
Penalty Kill
58.3% (12)
100.0% (1)
-41.7%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +41.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Raty is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Raty shoots left. Malkin is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (431).
Home / Away
Raty
Malkin
Home
57.1% (168)
47.5% (326)
Away
57.6% (165)
44.0% (307)
By Period
Raty
Malkin
P1
62.4%
49.3%
P2
56.7%
44.7%
P3
53.3%
42.3%
OT
60.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
65.9%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
68.0%▲
63.5%
57.4%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 05:05 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 04:59 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 03:40 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 18:37 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 13:15 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |