Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Raty on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Raty wins 62.7% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 59.8% vs Evans 55.4% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Raty 93.1%
Defensive zone
Raty 65.4%
Neutral zone
Raty 76.5%
Result
Aatu Raty favored at 83.1%
83.1%
16.9%
Raty
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Raty
Evans
Last 5: Raty 4-1 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Raty
2
0
Raty
Evans
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Raty
2
1
Raty
Evans
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
60.5% (478)
56.2% (477)
+4.3%
Power Play
75.0% (20)
70.0% (10)
+5.0%
Penalty Kill
63.8% (94)
55.4% (204)
+8.4%
On penalty kill, Raty has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Raty is 62.7% vs right-shot opponents (177).
Raty shoots left. Evans is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (516).
Home / Away
Raty
Evans
Home
61.4% (332)
55.3% (374)
Away
61.5% (260)
57.1% (317)
By Period
Raty
Evans
P1
56.6%
58.5%
P2
67.4%
55.7%
P3
59.6%
53.9%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
61.7%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
68.0%▲
63.5%
61.5%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 19:42 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 16:41 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 19:44 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 17:01 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 16:55 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |