Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Raty on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Raty wins 58.9% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 58.7% vs Evans 52.2% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Raty 93.7%
Defensive zone
Evans 51.6%
Neutral zone
Raty 73.9%
Result
Aatu Raty favored at 81.8%
81.8%
18.2%
Raty
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Raty
Evans
Last 5: Raty 4-1 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Raty
2
0
Raty
Evans
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Raty
2
1
Raty
Evans
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
58.5% (866)
53.8% (3,695)
+4.7%
Power Play
72.2% (36)
60.0% (70)
+12.2%
Penalty Kill
63.2% (106)
47.1% (1,222)
+16.1%
On penalty kill, Raty has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Raty is 58.9% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Raty shoots left. Evans is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,695).
Home / Away
Raty
Evans
Home
59.6% (547)
53.4% (2,593)
Away
59.4% (461)
51.0% (2,394)
By Period
Raty
Evans
P1
59.5%
54.0%
P2
62.8%
50.9%
P3
56.6%
52.0%
OT
53.3%
46.5%
Final 5 min
62.0%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
68.0%▲
63.5%
59.5%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 19:42 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 16:41 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 19:44 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 17:01 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 16:55 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |