Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Raty wins 59.8% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 58.7% vs Toews 57.9% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 68.7%
Defensive zone
Raty 68.2%
Neutral zone
Toews 53.4%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Raty
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Raty
Toews
Last 5: Raty 2-3 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Raty
Toews
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Raty
Toews
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
0
1
Raty
Toews
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
58.5% (866)
57.2% (13,047)
+1.3%
Power Play
72.2% (36)
63.3% (3,252)
+8.9%
Penalty Kill
63.2% (106)
53.6% (1,810)
+9.6%
On penalty kill, Raty has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Raty is 59.8% vs left-shot opponents (666).
Raty shoots left. Toews is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (11,653).
Home / Away
Raty
Toews
Home
59.6% (547)
59.7% (9,192)
Away
59.4% (461)
56.1% (8,948)
By Period
Raty
Toews
P1
59.5%
58.6%
P2
62.8%
57.8%
P3
56.6%
57.3%
OT
53.3%
58.9%
Final 5 min
62.0%
58.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
68.0%▲
63.5%
59.5%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 16:36 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 2 | 11:40 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 2 | 01:01 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 1 | 11:58 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 1 | 08:51 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |