Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Raty wins 60.3% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 59.9% vs Staal 54.6% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 69.8%
Defensive zone
Staal 65.8%
Neutral zone
Staal 63.4%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 69.8%
30.2%
69.8%
Raty
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Raty
Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
3
Raty
Staal
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
60.5% (517)
56.2% (989)
+4.3%
Power Play
72.7% (22)
66.0% (159)
+6.7%
Penalty Kill
63.4% (101)
42.7% (253)
+20.7%
On penalty kill, Raty has a +20.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Raty is 60.3% vs left-shot opponents (441).
Raty shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (970).
Home / Away
Raty
Staal
Home
60.2% (354)
55.4% (699)
Away
62.9% (286)
54.4% (702)
By Period
Raty
Staal
P1
56.9%
55.7%
P2
67.1%
54.7%
P3
59.5%
53.4%
OT
50.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
61.0%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
62.0%▼
64.5%
61.4%
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2025 | OT | 03:12 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 3 | 19:09 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 3 | 08:57 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 2 | 18:54 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |