Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Raty wins 59.5% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 58.7% vs Staal 55.3% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 60.6%
Defensive zone
Staal 61.9%
Neutral zone
Staal 64.5%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 60.6%
39.4%
60.6%
Raty
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Raty
Staal
Last 5: Raty 1-4 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
4
Raty
Staal
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
58.7% (905)
55.9% (14,654)
+2.8%
Power Play
71.1% (38)
62.7% (1,762)
+8.4%
Penalty Kill
62.8% (113)
47.9% (2,907)
+14.9%
On penalty kill, Raty has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Raty is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (698).
Raty shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,805).
Home / Away
Raty
Staal
Home
58.9% (569)
56.4% (9,699)
Away
60.4% (487)
54.3% (9,689)
By Period
Raty
Staal
P1
59.5%
55.2%
P2
62.8%
55.9%
P3
56.7%
54.8%
OT
53.3%
56.2%
Final 5 min
61.6%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
62.0%▼
64.5%
59.6%
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2025 | OT | 03:12 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 3 | 19:09 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 3 | 08:57 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 2 | 18:54 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 03:07 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |