Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Raty on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Raty wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Danforth shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 55.7% vs Danforth 49.5% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Raty 89.8%
Defensive zone
Raty 60.2%
Neutral zone
Raty 65.9%
Result
Aatu Raty favored at 66.9%
66.9%
33.1%
Raty
Danforth
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Raty
Danforth
Last 7: Raty 5-2 Danforth
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danforth
0
1
Raty
Danforth
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Raty
3
0
Raty
Danforth
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Raty
2
1
Raty
Danforth
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Danforth
Edge
Even Strength
56.8% (310)
50.5% (546)
+6.3%
Power Play
72.7% (11)
50.0% (14)
+22.7%
Penalty Kill
58.3% (12)
43.6% (101)
+14.7%
On power play, Raty has a +22.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danforth shoots right. Raty is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (128).
Raty shoots left. Danforth is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (488).
Home / Away
Raty
Danforth
Home
57.1% (168)
51.1% (315)
Away
57.6% (165)
48.0% (346)
By Period
Raty
Danforth
P1
62.4%
49.5%
P2
56.7%
51.4%
P3
53.3%
46.6%
OT
60.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
65.9%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
68.0%▲
63.5%
57.4%
Danforth
54.0%▲
51.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2025 | 3 | 19:55 | Offensive | Justin Danforth |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 3 | 07:38 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 2 | 15:05 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 2 | 08:29 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 3 | 19:00 | Neutral | Justin Danforth |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 3 | 18:55 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 3 | 02:17 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |