Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (61.5% vs 60.8%). Raty wins 60.9% vs left-shot opponents — MacLean shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 59.8% vs MacLean 54.6% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacLean 56.2%
Defensive zone
Raty 67.3%
Neutral zone
MacLean 53.2%
Result
Kyle MacLean favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Raty
MacLean
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Raty
MacLean
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Raty
1
0
Raty
MacLean
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacLean
0
1
Raty
MacLean
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
MacLean
Edge
Even Strength
60.5% (478)
60.6% (71)
-0.1%
Power Play
75.0% (20)
0.0% (1)
+75.0%
Penalty Kill
63.8% (94)
100.0% (2)
-36.2%
On power play, Raty has a +75.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacLean shoots left. Raty is 60.9% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Raty shoots left. MacLean is 59.6% vs left-shot opponents (47).
Home / Away
Raty
MacLean
Home
61.4% (332)
68.0% (25)
Away
61.5% (260)
57.1% (49)
By Period
Raty
MacLean
P1
56.6%
45.5%
P2
67.4%
78.1%
P3
59.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
61.7%
76.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
68.0%▲
63.5%
61.5%
MacLean
56.0%▬
56.5%
60.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 01:27 | Neutral | Kyle MacLean |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 01:46 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |