Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for MacLean on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Raty wins 59.5% vs left-shot opponents — MacLean shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 55.7% vs MacLean 48.5% (+9.2%)
H2H factor
MacLean leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
MacLean 53.7%
Defensive zone
MacLean 57.4%
Neutral zone
MacLean 63.3%
Result
Kyle MacLean favored at 57.5%
42.5%
57.5%
Raty
MacLean
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Raty
MacLean
Last 10: Raty 4-6 MacLean
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacLean
0
3
Raty
MacLean
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Raty
4
2
Raty
MacLean
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Raty
MacLean
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
MacLean
Edge
Even Strength
56.8% (310)
47.6% (540)
+9.2%
Power Play
72.7% (11)
66.7% (3)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
58.3% (12)
60.9% (23)
-2.6%
On even strength, Raty has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacLean shoots left. Raty is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Raty shoots left. MacLean is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (368).
Home / Away
Raty
MacLean
Home
57.1% (168)
47.6% (273)
Away
57.6% (165)
48.8% (293)
By Period
Raty
MacLean
P1
62.4%
45.5%
P2
56.7%
48.8%
P3
53.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
65.9%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
68.0%▲
63.5%
57.4%
MacLean
56.0%▬
56.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2025 | 3 | 13:21 | Neutral | Kyle MacLean |
| Mar 26, 2025 | 3 | 04:24 | Defensive | Kyle MacLean |
| Mar 26, 2025 | 2 | 13:25 | Offensive | Kyle MacLean |
| Mar 26, 2025 | 2 | 01:48 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |
| Mar 26, 2025 | 1 | 15:25 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Mar 26, 2025 | 1 | 15:16 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Mar 26, 2025 | 1 | 12:13 | Offensive | Kyle MacLean |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 2 | 13:20 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 1 | 10:41 | Offensive | Kyle MacLean |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 1 | 05:50 | Defensive | Kyle MacLean |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 1 | 05:36 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |