Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +12.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Raty on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Raty wins 59.8% vs left-shot opponents — Rossi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 58.7% vs Rossi 46.9% (+12.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Raty 68.4%
Defensive zone
Raty 89.5%
Neutral zone
Raty 73.7%
Result
Aatu Raty favored at 82.2%
82.2%
17.8%
Raty
Rossi
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Raty
Rossi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Raty
Rossi
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Raty
4
1
Raty
Rossi
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rossi
0
1
Raty
Rossi
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Rossi
Edge
Even Strength
58.5% (866)
47.0% (2,140)
+11.5%
Power Play
72.2% (36)
47.3% (188)
+24.9%
Penalty Kill
63.2% (106)
34.1% (44)
+29.1%
On penalty kill, Raty has a +29.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rossi shoots left. Raty is 59.8% vs left-shot opponents (666).
Raty shoots left. Rossi is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,529).
Home / Away
Raty
Rossi
Home
59.6% (547)
47.8% (1,207)
Away
59.4% (461)
45.7% (1,165)
By Period
Raty
Rossi
P1
59.5%
47.3%
P2
62.8%
44.8%
P3
56.6%
48.3%
OT
53.3%
45.8%
Final 5 min
62.0%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
68.0%▲
63.5%
59.5%
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 18:59 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 01:23 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |