Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Raty wins 62.7% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 59.8% vs McCarron 52.5% (+8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Raty 70.3%
Defensive zone
McCarron 69.8%
Neutral zone
McCarron 55.4%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 62.6%
37.4%
62.6%
Raty
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Raty
McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
1
Raty
McCarron
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Raty
1
0
Raty
McCarron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
60.5% (478)
53.1% (672)
+7.4%
Power Play
75.0% (20)
18.2% (11)
+56.8%
Penalty Kill
63.8% (94)
53.7% (205)
+10.1%
On power play, Raty has a +56.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Raty is 62.7% vs right-shot opponents (177).
Raty shoots left. McCarron is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Home / Away
Raty
McCarron
Home
61.4% (332)
52.8% (477)
Away
61.5% (260)
52.8% (411)
By Period
Raty
McCarron
P1
56.6%
56.5%
P2
67.4%
53.2%
P3
59.6%
49.0%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
61.7%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
68.0%▲
63.5%
61.5%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2025 | 1 | 02:05 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |