Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Raty on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Raty wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 55.7% vs McCarron 54.0% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Raty 93.2%
Defensive zone
McCarron 63.1%
Neutral zone
Raty 67.4%
Result
Aatu Raty favored at 69.5%
69.5%
30.5%
Raty
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Raty
McCarron
Last 8: Raty 6-2 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Raty
3
0
Raty
McCarron
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
2
Raty
McCarron
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Raty
3
0
Raty
McCarron
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
56.8% (310)
54.2% (756)
+2.6%
Power Play
72.7% (11)
55.6% (9)
+17.1%
Penalty Kill
58.3% (12)
55.1% (158)
+3.2%
On power play, Raty has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Raty is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (128).
Raty shoots left. McCarron is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (674).
Home / Away
Raty
McCarron
Home
57.1% (168)
54.6% (445)
Away
57.6% (165)
54.2% (478)
By Period
Raty
McCarron
P1
62.4%
53.6%
P2
56.7%
55.6%
P3
53.3%
53.7%
OT
60.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
65.9%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
68.0%▲
63.5%
57.4%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2024 | 3 | 19:39 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 3 | 02:13 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 2 | 19:38 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 2 | 15:21 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 2 | 07:51 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 1 | 11:34 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 1 | 11:30 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 1 | 04:48 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |