Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Raty wins 62.7% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 59.8% vs Roy 51.9% (+9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 60.5%
Defensive zone
Roy 61.2%
Neutral zone
Roy 62.4%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 61.3%
38.7%
61.3%
Raty
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Raty
Roy
Last 5: Raty 2-3 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Raty
1
0
Raty
Roy
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
2
Raty
Roy
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Raty
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
60.5% (478)
51.9% (547)
+8.6%
Power Play
75.0% (20)
54.1% (37)
+20.9%
Penalty Kill
63.8% (94)
53.3% (92)
+10.5%
On power play, Raty has a +20.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Raty is 62.7% vs right-shot opponents (177).
Raty shoots left. Roy is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (464).
Home / Away
Raty
Roy
Home
61.4% (332)
54.0% (328)
Away
61.5% (260)
50.6% (348)
By Period
Raty
Roy
P1
56.6%
53.5%
P2
67.4%
51.6%
P3
59.6%
51.6%
Final 5 min
61.7%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
68.0%▲
63.5%
61.5%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 18:51 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 02:51 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 16:31 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 08:51 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 08:46 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |