Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Raty on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Raty wins 58.9% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 58.7% vs Roy 48.4% (+11.1%)
H2H factor
Roy leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Raty 54.8%
Defensive zone
Roy 60.2%
Neutral zone
Roy 63.8%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Raty
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Raty
Roy
Last 7: Raty 3-4 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Raty
3
1
Raty
Roy
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
2
3
Raty
Roy
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
0
2
Raty
Roy
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
58.5% (866)
48.7% (3,719)
+9.8%
Power Play
72.2% (36)
49.5% (283)
+22.7%
Penalty Kill
63.2% (106)
45.5% (477)
+17.7%
On power play, Raty has a +22.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Raty is 58.9% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Raty shoots left. Roy is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,288).
Home / Away
Raty
Roy
Home
59.6% (547)
49.5% (2,221)
Away
59.4% (461)
47.3% (2,258)
By Period
Raty
Roy
P1
59.5%
50.8%
P2
62.8%
46.3%
P3
56.6%
48.1%
OT
53.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
62.0%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
68.0%▲
63.5%
59.5%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 18:51 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 02:51 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 16:31 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 08:51 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 08:46 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 18:45 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |