Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +17.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Raty on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Raty wins 62.7% vs right-shot opponents — Greene shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 59.8% vs Greene 45.0% (+17.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Raty 92.5%
Defensive zone
Raty 92.2%
Neutral zone
Raty 87.5%
Result
Aatu Raty favored at 92.2%
92.2%
7.8%
Raty
Greene
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Raty
Greene
Last 5: Raty 4-1 Greene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Greene
0
1
Raty
Greene
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Raty
4
0
Raty
Greene
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Greene
Edge
Even Strength
60.5% (478)
44.1% (506)
+16.4%
Power Play
75.0% (20)
47.5% (59)
+27.5%
Penalty Kill
63.8% (94)
43.6% (149)
+20.2%
On power play, Raty has a +27.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greene shoots right. Raty is 62.7% vs right-shot opponents (177).
Raty shoots left. Greene is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (535).
Home / Away
Raty
Greene
Home
61.4% (332)
47.4% (382)
Away
61.5% (260)
40.7% (332)
By Period
Raty
Greene
P1
56.6%
47.2%
P2
67.4%
39.0%
P3
59.6%
47.0%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
61.7%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
68.0%▲
63.5%
61.5%
Greene
40.0%▬
40.5%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 15:38 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 04:55 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 3 | 16:15 | Offensive | Ryan Greene |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 2 | 16:52 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 2 | 08:07 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |