Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +15.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Raty on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Raty wins 58.9% vs right-shot opponents — Greene shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 58.7% vs Greene 44.7% (+15.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Raty 94.6%
Defensive zone
Raty 90.5%
Neutral zone
Raty 85.3%
Result
Aatu Raty favored at 91.3%
91.3%
8.7%
Raty
Greene
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Raty
Greene
Last 5: Raty 4-1 Greene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Greene
0
1
Raty
Greene
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Raty
4
0
Raty
Greene
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Greene
Edge
Even Strength
58.5% (866)
43.7% (524)
+14.8%
Power Play
72.2% (36)
47.5% (59)
+24.7%
Penalty Kill
63.2% (106)
43.6% (149)
+19.6%
On power play, Raty has a +24.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greene shoots right. Raty is 58.9% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Raty shoots left. Greene is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (546).
Home / Away
Raty
Greene
Home
59.6% (547)
47.4% (382)
Away
59.4% (461)
40.3% (350)
By Period
Raty
Greene
P1
59.5%
46.4%
P2
62.8%
38.9%
P3
56.6%
47.0%
OT
53.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
62.0%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
68.0%▲
63.5%
59.5%
Greene
40.0%▬
40.5%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 15:38 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 04:55 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 3 | 16:15 | Offensive | Ryan Greene |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 2 | 16:52 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 2 | 08:07 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |