Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Raty wins 59.5% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 57.9% vs Couturier 52.6% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 55.2%
Defensive zone
Couturier 54.9%
Neutral zone
Couturier 55.1%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Raty
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Raty
Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
2
Raty
Couturier
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Raty
1
0
Raty
Couturier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
58.1% (781)
52.4% (10,929)
+5.7%
Power Play
74.3% (35)
59.9% (1,276)
+14.4%
Penalty Kill
58.6% (87)
48.7% (1,777)
+9.9%
On power play, Raty has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Raty is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (603).
Raty shoots left. Couturier is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (8,821).
Home / Away
Raty
Couturier
Home
58.8% (478)
53.4% (7,054)
Away
58.8% (425)
51.8% (6,935)
By Period
Raty
Couturier
P1
59.5%
52.5%
P2
61.6%
52.5%
P3
56.1%
53.0%
OT
41.7%
49.6%
Final 5 min
61.3%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
66.0%▲
64.5%
58.8%
Couturier
46.0%▼
47.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2025 | 3 | 19:42 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 2 | 19:30 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 2 | 04:11 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 2 | 04:01 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |