Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Raty wins 59.8% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 58.7% vs Couturier 52.6% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 54.1%
Defensive zone
Couturier 53.7%
Neutral zone
Couturier 53.6%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Raty
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Raty
Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
2
Raty
Couturier
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Raty
1
0
Raty
Couturier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
58.5% (866)
52.5% (11,063)
+6.0%
Power Play
72.2% (36)
59.7% (1,280)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
63.2% (106)
48.5% (1,816)
+14.7%
On penalty kill, Raty has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Raty is 59.8% vs left-shot opponents (666).
Raty shoots left. Couturier is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (8,920).
Home / Away
Raty
Couturier
Home
59.6% (547)
53.4% (7,147)
Away
59.4% (461)
51.8% (7,019)
By Period
Raty
Couturier
P1
59.5%
52.5%
P2
62.8%
52.6%
P3
56.6%
52.9%
OT
53.3%
49.4%
Final 5 min
62.0%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
68.0%▲
63.5%
59.5%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2025 | 3 | 19:42 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 2 | 19:30 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 2 | 04:11 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 2 | 04:01 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |