Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Raty wins 59.5% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 57.9% vs Monahan 51.2% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 76.9%
Defensive zone
Raty 61.2%
Neutral zone
Monahan 60.6%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 56.9%
43.1%
56.9%
Raty
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Raty
Monahan
Last 10: Raty 4-6 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
4
Raty
Monahan
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Raty
3
2
Raty
Monahan
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Raty
2
1
Raty
Monahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
58.1% (781)
51.1% (11,197)
+7.0%
Power Play
74.3% (35)
53.6% (2,558)
+20.7%
Penalty Kill
58.6% (87)
46.0% (733)
+12.6%
On power play, Raty has a +20.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Raty is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (603).
Raty shoots left. Monahan is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (9,187).
Home / Away
Raty
Monahan
Home
58.8% (478)
52.3% (7,234)
Away
58.8% (425)
50.2% (7,254)
By Period
Raty
Monahan
P1
59.5%
51.0%
P2
61.6%
51.6%
P3
56.1%
51.1%
OT
41.7%
53.7%
Final 5 min
61.3%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
66.0%▲
64.5%
58.8%
Monahan
58.0%▲
53.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 19:49 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 08:11 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 01:06 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 13:34 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 10:34 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 05:50 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 28, 2025 | OT | 03:53 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 3 | 17:08 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 3 | 06:29 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 2 | 18:55 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 1 | 08:51 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 1 | 04:10 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |