Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Raty wins 59.8% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 58.7% vs Monahan 51.3% (+8.2%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 77.9%
Defensive zone
Raty 64.4%
Neutral zone
Monahan 56.5%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Raty
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Raty
Monahan
Last 10: Raty 4-6 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
4
Raty
Monahan
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Raty
3
2
Raty
Monahan
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Raty
2
1
Raty
Monahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
58.5% (866)
51.1% (11,356)
+7.4%
Power Play
72.2% (36)
53.7% (2,580)
+18.5%
Penalty Kill
63.2% (106)
46.0% (766)
+17.2%
On power play, Raty has a +18.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Raty is 59.8% vs left-shot opponents (666).
Raty shoots left. Monahan is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (9,301).
Home / Away
Raty
Monahan
Home
59.6% (547)
52.4% (7,358)
Away
59.4% (461)
50.2% (7,344)
By Period
Raty
Monahan
P1
59.5%
50.9%
P2
62.8%
51.7%
P3
56.6%
51.0%
OT
53.3%
53.5%
Final 5 min
62.0%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
68.0%▲
63.5%
59.5%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 19:49 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 08:11 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 01:06 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 13:34 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 10:34 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 05:50 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 28, 2025 | OT | 03:53 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 3 | 17:08 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 3 | 06:29 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 2 | 18:55 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 1 | 08:51 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 1 | 04:10 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |